India should be recording 9% year-on-year growth in its Gross Domestic Product again, as oil prices have fallen much lower since the economic boom, former Chief Economic Adviser Kaushik Basu said on Sunday. He called for the “massive slowdown” in the economy to be “properly diagnosed”.
“India’s growth rate is now 6.3%,” Basu said on Twitter. “It had reached a rate of 9.5% from 2005 to 2008. Now, with oil prices so low, the growth should have been back at over 9%.”
Prices of crude oil reached close to $140 (around Rs 9,000) a barrel in 2008 but have hovered below $50 (Rs 3,200) a barrel for a significant period since 2014, falling to $29 in February 2016. India is one of the largest importers of crude oil, and hence, a decline in its prices is a positive factor for economic growth.
Basu’s tweet follows the latest GDP data released on Thursday, which showed that India’s economy recovered in the July-September quarter after a prolonged period of slowdown. India recorded a GDP growth rate of 6.3% during the quarter, reversing a five-quarter slowdown.
The government’s decision to demonetise high-value currency notes in November 2016 and issues related to the implementation of the Goods and Services Tax this July were blamed for the economic slowdown.
Limited-time offer: Big stories, small price. Keep independent media alive. Become a Scroll member today!
Our journalism is for everyone. But you can get special privileges by buying an annual Scroll Membership. Sign up today!